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Since January 2024, prices have climbed 13.6%, reaching an all-time high in May and another in June 2024. Similarly, the monthly cost of financing has hit a record high, meaning that home affordability is at a record low.
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In June, the average 30-year mortgage rate declined to 6.86%, dropping 0.17% from the 2024 high reached in April. The Fed may cut rates as early as September, but the magnitude of the cut will be small, likely 0.25% this year. Currently, we expect rates to remain between 6% and 8% for the rest of 2024.
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Sales fell 0.7% month over month, while inventory rose 6.7%. The combination of rising prices and high interest rates has kept sales historically low. Since January 2023, sales have trended more horizontally, although we expect sales to decline until spring 2025.